Currently 8th (7 pts from 3 matches). Expected points 13.8. Remaining matches simulated (2026-10-28). Europa League standings →
The model gives Sunderland a 34% chance of the top 8 (straight to the round of 16), 95% of finishing in the top 24 (at least a play-off) and 5% of going out. Currently 8th (7 pts from 3 matches). Expected points: 13.8. The 54 matches played keep their real score; the rest were simulated 4,000 times (2026-10-28) with the simulator's model: Poisson goals driven by team ratings.
Sunderland's 8 opponents: AZ Alkmaar, Torreense, Lech Poznań, GNK Dinamo, Jagiellonia, AC Milan, Anderlecht, Levski Sofia (4 home, 4 away).
In the UEFA Europa League league phase (8 matches, at most 24 points) 16 points are enough for the top 8 and 10 points for the play-off places (9-24) 90% of the time. 15 points give about an even chance of the top 8, 9 of the top 24. Source: 4,000 simulated league phases of the PredictLeague model, played matches included (2026-10-28).
Enter your scores for Sunderland's matches in the simulator; every other match is simulated 1,000 times and you see Sunderland's likely position and top 8 / play-off chances straight away.