Currently 32nd (1 pts from 3 matches). Expected points 7.0. Remaining matches simulated (2026-10-28). Europa League standings →
The model gives Lech Poznań a <1% chance of the top 8 (straight to the round of 16), 19% of finishing in the top 24 (at least a play-off) and 81% of going out. Currently 32nd (1 pts from 3 matches). Expected points: 7.0. The 54 matches played keep their real score; the rest were simulated 4,000 times (2026-10-28) with the simulator's model: Poisson goals driven by team ratings.
Lech Poznań's 8 opponents: Crystal Palace, Bayer Leverkusen, Sunderland, Benfica, Union SG, Ferencváros, Torreense, OFI Crete (4 home, 4 away).
In the UEFA Europa League league phase (8 matches, at most 24 points) 16 points are enough for the top 8 and 10 points for the play-off places (9-24) 90% of the time. 15 points give about an even chance of the top 8, 9 of the top 24. Source: 4,000 simulated league phases of the PredictLeague model, played matches included (2026-10-28).
Enter your scores for Lech Poznań's matches in the simulator; every other match is simulated 1,000 times and you see Lech Poznań's likely position and top 8 / play-off chances straight away.