Currently 22nd (4 pts from 3 matches). Expected points 11.6. Remaining matches simulated (2026-10-31). Europa League standings →
The model gives Salzburg a 11% chance of the top 8 (straight to the round of 16), 79% of finishing in the top 24 (at least a play-off) and 21% of going out. Currently 22nd (4 pts from 3 matches). Expected points: 11.6. The 54 matches played keep their real score; the rest were simulated 4,000 times (2026-10-31) with the simulator's model: Poisson goals driven by team ratings.
Salzburg's 8 opponents: Levski Sofia, AC Milan, Celje, Anderlecht, Ararat-Armenia, Sparta Praha, Bayer Leverkusen, Crystal Palace (4 home, 4 away).
In the UEFA Europa League league phase (8 matches, at most 24 points) 16 points are enough for the top 8 and 10 points for the play-off places (9-24) 90% of the time. 15 points give about an even chance of the top 8, 9 of the top 24. Source: 4,000 simulated league phases of the PredictLeague model, played matches included (2026-10-31).
Enter your scores for Salzburg's matches in the simulator; every other match is simulated 1,000 times and you see Salzburg's likely position and top 8 / play-off chances straight away.