PredictLeague

Ajax

🏆 UEFA Conference League ⚡ Rating: 83/100

🎯 Ajax Qualification Odds (Model)

Top 8
35%
Play-off
59%
Out
6%

Currently 13th (3 pts from 2 matches). Expected points 10.3. Remaining matches simulated (2026-10-23). Conference League standings →

Top 8 (90%)
13 pts
Play-off (90%)
8 pts
Home / Away
3 / 3
⚡ Predict Ajax's Matches in the Simulator

📅 Ajax UECL Fixtures (6 Matches)

MD1 Away
2 - 1 (FT)
MD2 Home
2 - 0 (FT)
MD3 Away
Balanced
MD4 Home
Favorable
MD5 Away
Favorable
MD6 Home
Favorable

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Will Ajax qualify from the Conference League league phase?

The model gives Ajax a 35% chance of the top 8 (straight to the round of 16), 94% of finishing in the top 24 (at least a play-off) and 6% of going out. Currently 13th (3 pts from 2 matches). Expected points: 10.3. The 36 matches played keep their real score; the rest were simulated 4,000 times (2026-10-23) with the simulator's model: Poisson goals driven by team ratings.

Who does Ajax play in the Conference League 2026/27 league phase?

Ajax's 6 opponents: Hajduk Split, Atalanta, FC Midtjylland, FC Thun, Sint-Truidense, Getafe (3 home, 3 away).

How many points does Ajax need for the top 8?

In the UEFA Conference League league phase (6 matches, at most 18 points) 13 points are enough for the top 8 and 8 points for the play-off places (9-24) 90% of the time. 12 points give about an even chance of the top 8, 7 of the top 24. Source: 4,000 simulated league phases of the PredictLeague model, played matches included (2026-10-23).

How can I predict Ajax's results?

Enter your scores for Ajax's matches in the simulator; every other match is simulated 1,000 times and you see Ajax's likely position and top 8 / play-off chances straight away.

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