Currently 15th (4 pts from 3 matches). Expected points 10.8. Remaining matches simulated (2026-10-22). Champions League standings →
The model gives Roma a 8% chance of the top 8 (straight to the round of 16), 77% of finishing in the top 24 (at least a play-off) and 23% of going out. Currently 15th (4 pts from 3 matches). Expected points: 10.8. The 54 matches played keep their real score; the rest were simulated 4,000 times (2026-10-22) with the simulator's model: Poisson goals driven by team ratings.
Roma's 8 opponents: Fenerbahçe, Real Madrid, Slovan Bratislava, Manchester United, Paris Saint Germain, Sporting CP, AEK Athens, Lille (4 home, 4 away).
In the UEFA Champions League league phase (8 matches, at most 24 points) 16 points are enough for the top 8 and 10 points for the play-off places (9-24) 90% of the time. 16 points give about an even chance of the top 8, 9 of the top 24. Source: 4,000 simulated league phases of the PredictLeague model, played matches included (2026-10-22).
Enter your scores for Roma's matches in the simulator; every other match is simulated 1,000 times and you see Roma's likely position and top 8 / play-off chances straight away.